1. Introduction
   1.1 Problem definition and research framing
   1.2 Scope of CLICO
   1.3 Report structure
2. Conceptual framework
   2.1 The climate change, water conflict and human security nexus
   2.1.1 Hazards, vulnerability and adaptive capacity
   2.1.2 Conflict and cooperation
   2.1.3 Relationship between climate, water conflict and cooperation
   2.1.4 Human security
   2.2 Conceptual framework
   2.3 Summary
3. Climate conditions and climate change outlook
   3.1 The Mediterranean region
   3.1.1 Climate conditions
   3.1.2 Water resources
   3.1.3 Water-related hazards and climate variability
   3.1.4 Climate outlooks
   3.2 Sahel and bordering countries: Niger, Sudan, Ethiopia
   3.2.1 Climate conditions
   3.2.2 Hydrological resources
   3.2.3 Water-related hazards and climate variability
   3.2.4 Climate outlooks
   3.3 Summary
4. Policies at the national and international level
   4.1 Policies explicitly addressing the climate–water–security nexus
   4.2 Adaptation policies and institutions enhancing human security and mitigating conflict risk
   4.2.1 Policies targeted at enhancing the overall adaptive capacity of the population
   4.2.2 Policies improving institutions and governance
   4.2.3 Adaptation specific policies and measures
   4.2.4 Examples of adaptation measures and policies facilitating cooperation and conflict
   4.3 Effectiveness of current adaptation policies at the national level
   4.3.1 Generalized effectiveness of climate change adaptation policies
   4.3.2 Effectiveness of policies according to the policy cycle
   4.4 Summary
5. Transboundary institutions under conditions of uncertainty
   5.1 Measuring adaptive capacity of transboundary institutions
   5.1.1 Indicator development
   5.1.2 Results
   5.2 Governing uncertainty in transboundary agreements
   5.2.1 What affects the choice of a mechanism?
   5.2.2 Results
   5.2.3 Findings
   5.3 Summary
6. Assessments of hydro-security
   6.1 Large scale statistical analysis of factors contributing to water related conflict or cooperation
   6.1.1 A database for domestic, intra-state conflict and cooperation
   6.1.2 Determinants of domestic conflict and cooperation
   6.1.3 Summary
   6.2 Hydro-security in the case studies
   6.2.1 Jordan basin
   6.2.2 The Baro-Akobo sub-basin of the eastern Nile, Gambella National Regional State, Ethiopia
   6.2.3 Cyprus
   6.2.4 Intercontinental biosphere reserve of the Mediterranean (IBRM), Morocco–Spain
   6.2.5 North and South Sudan
   6.2.6 Tahoua region, Niger
   6.2.7 Ebro Delta, Spain
   6.2.8 Seyhan river basin, Turkey
   6.2.9 Ras Sudr, South Sinai
   6.2.10 Sarno, Italy
   6.2.11 Alexandria, Egypt
7. Synthesis
   7.1 Findings
   7.2 Key findings related to the initial research questions
   7.3 Conditions for successful adaptation
   7.4 Summary
8. Policy recommendations
   8.1 Increase knowledge and knowledge sharing by strengthening research capacity and information transfer
   8.2 Promote and strengthen accountable and functioning institutions
   8.3 Cooperation and conflict resolution
   8.4 Mainstreaming
   8.5 Sector specific measures
   8.6 Migration and resettlement
   8.7 Infrastructure investment for disaster risk reduction
   8.8 Recommendations for international policymakers
   8.9 Addressing all levels: elaborate a normative framework for adaptation

References
Appendix I: list of deliverables
Appendix II: synthesis report and CLICO deliverables
Chapter 2 annexes
Chapter 4 annexes